Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Danny Finlayson 45' yellowcard
  • Macauley Tait 58' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Tait 58' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 79' yellowcard
  • Mahamadou Susoho 84' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 90'+1' goal
  • goal Zac Sapsford 33'
  • goal Zachary Sapsford 33'
  • goal Ryan McGowan 86' (OG)
  • goal Amar Abdirahman Ahmed 90'
  • goal Amar Fatah  90'

Livingston vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 4 Celtic
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 5.45pm
Aberdeen 1 - 1 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Zachary Sapsford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Livingston 46.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Dundee United 28.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 78.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Livingston 46.3%
Draw 25.18%
Dundee United 28.51%
Livingston
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.51%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
  • Krisztián Keresztes 48' goal
  • Luca Stephenson  65' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Pittman 34'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 48'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • 11' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 11' goal
  • James Penrice 59' goal
  • goal Ian Harkes 21'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamie McGrath 17' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 85' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steven Bradley 13' goal
  • goal Aziz Behich 59'
Scottish League Cup
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Ayo Obileye 59' yellowcard
  • Kurtis Guthrie 78' goal
  • Cristian Montano 87' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Fletcher 15'
  • yellowcard Dylan Levitt 32'
  • goal Ian Harkes 34'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 82'
  • yellowcard 89'