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Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Dundee United

1-3

McLennan (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sapsford (33'), McGowan (86' og.), Abdirahman Ahmed (90')
Coverage of the Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-3 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Hearts vs. Livingston
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-3 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Dundee Utd vs. Dundee
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawDundee United
46.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.51% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)54.1% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)67.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 46.3%
    Dundee United 28.51%
    Draw 25.18%
LivingstonDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.51%

Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3pm
gameweek 36
Livingston
2-1
Dundee Utd
Anderson (11'), Penrice (59')
Harkes (21')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
gameweek 33
Dundee Utd
2-0
Livingston
McGrath (17'), Fletcher (85')
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Livingston
1-1
Dundee Utd
Bradley (13')
Behich (59')