Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangor City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangor City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.