NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

2-0

Arthurs (42'), Francis (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Bangor City and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bangor 2-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Linfield vs. Bangor
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Bangor 2-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Glenavon
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangor City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangor City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Bangor CityDrawBallymena United
40.37% (-0.746 -0.75)26.16% (0.151 0.15)33.47% (0.592 0.59)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)51.23% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-0.435 -0.43)73.07% (0.432 0.43)
Bangor City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.607 -0.61)25% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.848 -0.85)59.66% (0.846 0.85)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.139 0.14)28.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.171 0.17)64.88% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bangor City 40.36%
    Ballymena United 33.47%
    Draw 26.16%
Bangor CityDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.47%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2025 3pm
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
Jul 20, 2024 2pm
Club Friendlies 3
Ballymena
1-1
Bangor