Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Bangor City had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bangor City win was 1-2 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.