Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.