NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

BallymenaBallymena United
1-1
CarrickCarrick Rangers

O'Connor (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Steele (40')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Ballymena vs. Coleraine
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Carrick vs. Larne
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
48.41% (0.222 0.22)24.94% (-0.111 -0.11)26.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.261 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.387 0.39)49.19% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.346 0.35)71.26% (-0.34 -0.34)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.252 0.25)20.35% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (0.395 0.4)52.76% (-0.388 -0.39)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.122 0.12)32.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.135 0.13)69.36% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 48.4%
    Carrick Rangers 26.66%
    Draw 24.93%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2025 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Ballymena
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
gameweek 3
Ballymena
1-1
Carrick
Jarvis (75', 75')
Loughran (52'), Corbally (56'), Kennedy (81'), Kennedy (81')
Cushley (90+7', 90+7')
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
gameweek 26
Carrick
0-0
Ballymena
Buchanan-Rolleston (30'), Boyle (35'), McGuckin (45'), Cherry (68'), (89'), (90')
(27'), (32'), (90')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
gameweek 19
Ballymena
1-2
Carrick
McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 8
Carrick
1-4
Ballymena
Gordon (57')
Forsythe (26'), Glendinning (35'), Gordon (35'), Macuilaitis (56'), Clucas (69'), Stewart (75'), Cherry (77')
Jarvis (2'), Lafferty (15'), Kennedy (90+1' pen., 90+6')
Jarvis (4'), Carson (30'), McMurray (35'), Scott (35'), Kennedy (37')
rhs 2.0


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