NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 26.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
48.41% (0.222 0.22)24.94% (-0.111 -0.11)26.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.261 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.387 0.39)49.19% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.346 0.35)71.26% (-0.34 -0.34)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.252 0.25)20.35% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (0.395 0.4)52.76% (-0.388 -0.39)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.122 0.12)32.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.135 0.13)69.36% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 48.4%
    Carrick Rangers 26.66%
    Draw 24.93%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2025 3pm
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
gameweek 3
Ballymena
1-1
Carrick
Jarvis (75', 75')
Loughran (52'), Corbally (56'), Kennedy (81'), Kennedy (81')
Cushley (90+7', 90+7')
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
gameweek 26
Carrick
0-0
Ballymena
Buchanan-Rolleston (30'), Boyle (35'), McGuckin (45'), Cherry (68'), (89'), (90')
(27'), (32'), (90')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
gameweek 19
Ballymena
1-2
Carrick
McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 8
Carrick
1-4
Ballymena
Gordon (57')
Forsythe (26'), Glendinning (35'), Gordon (35'), Macuilaitis (56'), Clucas (69'), Stewart (75'), Cherry (77')
Jarvis (2'), Lafferty (15'), Kennedy (90+1' pen., 90+6')
Jarvis (4'), Carson (30'), McMurray (35'), Scott (35'), Kennedy (37')
rhs 2.0


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