Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Daire O'Connor 65'
Danny Lafferty 90'+3'

Aidan Steele 40'
Billy Joe Burns 71'

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions

L
L
L
D
W
L

NIFL Premiership

L
L
L
D
W
L

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Portadown 1 - 0 Ballymena

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Igor Rutkowski

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

D
L
L
L
L
W

NIFL Premiership

D
L
L
L
L
W

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Carrick 3 - 3 Dungannon

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 48.41% ▲ (+0.23)

Draw 24.94% ▼ (-0.12)

Carrick Rangers 26.66% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

53.53% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.81% ▲ (+0.39)

Under 2.5 49.19% ▼ (-0.38)

Over 3.5 28.74% ▲ (+0.35)

Under 3.5 71.26% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 4.5 13.81% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 4.5 86.19% ▼ (-0.23)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 79.65% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 0.5 20.35% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 1.5 47.25% ▲ (+0.40)

Under 1.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.39)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 67.21% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 0.5 32.79% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 1.5 30.65% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 1.5 69.36% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 48.4%

Draw 24.93%

Carrick Rangers 26.66%

Ballymena United

1-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.10)

2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.03)

2-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)

3-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.04)

4-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)

4-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)

4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 2.72%

Total : 48.4%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.07)

0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.11)

2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.04)

3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.12%

Total : 24.93%

Carrick Rangers

0-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.10)

1-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.04)

1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.51%

Total : 26.66%

Head to Head

Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Showgrounds

Caolan Loughran 52'
Kian Corbally 56'
Aaron Jarvis 75'
Aaron Jarvis 75'
Ben Kennedy 81'
Ben Kennedy 81'

David Cushley 90'+7'
David Cushley 90'+7'

Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 30'
Ethan Boyle 35'
Emmett McGuckin 45'
Kyle Cherry 68'
89'
90'

27'
32'
90'

Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Showgrounds

Josh Carson 8'
Andrew Scott 22'
Daithi McCallion 65'

Kurtis Forsythe 22'
Kyle Cherry 23'
Seanan Clucas 25'
Dan Purkis 49'
Nedas Macuilaitis 71'
Ross Glendinning 79'
Paul Heatley 80'

Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm

1

4

HT : 0 2

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Kurtis Forsythe 26'
Reece Glendinning 35'
Steven Gordon 35'
Nedas Macuilaitis 56'
Steven Gordon 57'
Seanan Clucas 69'
Cameron Stewart 75'
Kyle Cherry 77'

Aaron Jarvis 2'
Aaron Jarvis 4'
Danny Lafferty 15'
Josh Carson 30'
Jonathan McMurray 35'
Andrew Scott 35'
Ben Kennedy 37'
Ben Kennedy 90'+1'
Ben Kennedy 90'+6'

Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

David Cushley 14'
Joe Crowe 55'
Ben Tilney 66'
Dan Purkis 77'
Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 90'+2'

Alex Gawne 3'
Jonathan McMurray 19'
Kym Nelson 80'
Noah Stewart 90'+4'

Form Data

Portadown 1 - 0 Ballymena

Ballymena 1 - 2 Dungannon

Glenavon 3 - 1 Ballymena

Ballymena 2 - 2 Crusaders

Bangor 2 - 3 Ballymena

Ballymena 0 - 2 Larne

Carrick 3 - 3 Dungannon

Coleraine 3 - 1 Carrick

Linfield 3 - 1 Carrick

Carrick 1 - 2 Portadown

Carrick 1 - 2 Crusaders

Bangor 0 - 1 Carrick