Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm

Motherwell vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Rangers 0 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Celtic
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 27.57% and a draw has a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 2-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).

Result

Motherwell 27.57% (-0.02)
Draw 23.62% (-0.01)
Celtic 48.82% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.24% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 42.76% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.17% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.14% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.86% (-0.01)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.74% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.57% (+0.01)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 82.33% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.67% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.7% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.3% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Motherwell 27.57%
Draw 23.61%
Celtic 48.82%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.61%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.51% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.82%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 2, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
  • Luke Armstrong 23' goal
  • goal Daizen Maeda 1'
  • goal Adam Idah 29'
  • goal Jota 90'+4'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Arne Engels 45'+1' goal
  • Adam Idah 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Daizen Maeda 57' goal
  • Nicolas Kuhn 74' goal
  • Reo Hatate 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 11'
  • yellowcard Tony Watt 41'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 42'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Harry Paton 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Fir Park
  • Stephen O'Donnell 59' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Luke McCowan 27'
  • yellowcard Paulo Bernardo 50'
  • goal Alistair Johnston 56'
  • goal Adam Idah 88'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2024 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 2 0
FT Fir Park
  • 3' goal
  • Blair Spittal 43' goal
  • Calum Butcher 79' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Idah 51'
  • yellowcard Greg Taylor 55'
  • goal Adam Idah 90'+4'
  • goal Luis Palma 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 90'+8'