NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

CrusadersCrusaders
2-2
CarrickCarrick Rangers

Bryden (25'), Forsythe (48')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Scott (31'), Joe Burns (36')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Carrick
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Crusaders vs. Dungannon
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Carrick
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Carrick vs. Glentoran
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
42.19% (0.184 0.18)24.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.06% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)45.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.043999999999997 0.04)67.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.104 0.1)21.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.163 0.16)54.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.103 -0.1)61.38% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 42.19%
    Carrick Rangers 33.06%
    Draw 24.74%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2025 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Crusaders
Aug 9, 2025 3pm
Crusaders
3-4
Carrick
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Carrick
0-0
Crusaders
Clucas (82')
Owens (77'), Lowry (89')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Carrick
3-0
Crusaders
McGuckin (11'), Heatley (14', 60')
Heatley (27'), Macuilaitis (65'), Crowe (74')

Cushley (34'), Blaney (45'), Weir (62')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
gameweek 5
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Heatley (77'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (90+6')