NIFL Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

CrusadersCrusaders
vs.
CarrickCarrick Rangers

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-2 Crusaders
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 33.06% and a draw has a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
42.19% (0.184 0.18)24.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.06% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)45.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.043999999999997 0.04)67.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.104 0.1)21.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.163 0.16)54.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.103 -0.1)61.38% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 42.19%
    Carrick Rangers 33.06%
    Draw 24.74%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2025 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Crusaders
Aug 9, 2025 3pm
Crusaders
3-4
Carrick
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Carrick
0-0
Crusaders
Clucas (82')
Owens (77'), Lowry (89')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Carrick
3-0
Crusaders
McGuckin (11'), Heatley (14', 60')
Heatley (27'), Macuilaitis (65'), Crowe (74')

Cushley (34'), Blaney (45'), Weir (62')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
gameweek 5
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Heatley (77'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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