NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Larne

CarrickCarrick Rangers
vs.
LarneLarne

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Larne
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw has a probability of 26.94% and a win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it is 1-0 (9.03%).

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
26.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)46.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.017000000000003 0.02)57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.012 0.01)77.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.78% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.01100000000001 0.01)24.55% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)59.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 26.65%
    Larne 46.4%
    Draw 26.94%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 12.75%
0-2 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.4%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2025 3pm
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Crowe (90+3')
Graham (66')
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')