Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Paul Heatley 56'

Leroy Millar 34'
Christopher Gallagher 59'
Tiarnan O'Connor 80'
Paul O'Neill 85'
Paul O'Neill 89'
90'+4'

Carrick Rangers vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

D
D
L
L
L
L

NIFL Premiership

D
D
L
L
L
L

Last game

Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

Ballymena 1 - 1 Carrick

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Paul Heatley

Larne

All competitions

W
W
D
W
W
W

NIFL Premiership

W
W
D
W
W
W

Last game

Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

Crusaders 0 - 1 Larne

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.87% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Carrick Rangers 26.56% ▼ (-0.10)

Draw 26.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Larne 46.57% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score:

47.68% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.21% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 2.5 56.79% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 3.5 22.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 3.5 77.72% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 4.5 9.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 4.5 90.32% ▼ (-0.11)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 26.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 73.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 75.62% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 0.5 24.38% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 1.5 41.22% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 1.5 58.78% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 26.56%

Draw 26.86%

Larne 46.56%

Carrick Rangers

1-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.07)

2-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 1.78%

Total : 26.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.08)

2-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.76%

Total : 26.86%

Larne

0-1 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.04)

0-2 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.04)

2-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)

0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)

1-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.45%

Total : 46.56%

Head to Head

Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Joe Crowe 90'+3'

Sean Graham 66'
83'

Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Nedas Macuilaitis 23'
Kurtis Forsythe 40'
Joe Crowe 45'+3'

Rohan Ferguson 24'
Tomas Cosgrove 52'
Sean Graham 66'
Christopher Gallagher 71'
Tiarnan O'Connor 83'

Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Inver Park

Cian Bolger 89'
Shaun Want 89'

Kyle Cherry 71'
Seanan Clucas 78'

Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Kurtis Forsythe 42'
Joe Crowe 57'
Dan Purkis 64'
Curtis Allen 78'
Steven Gordon 90'+4'

Leroy Millar 27'
Levi Ives 65'
Andy Ryan 76'
Joseph Thomson 77'
Jaziel Orozco 83'

Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Inver Park

Tomas Cosgrove 16'
Aaron Donnelly 32'
Shaun Want 65'
Paul O'Neill 84'

Form Data

Ballymena 1 - 1 Carrick

Carrick 3 - 3 Dungannon

Coleraine 3 - 1 Carrick

Linfield 3 - 1 Carrick

Carrick 1 - 2 Portadown

Carrick 1 - 2 Crusaders

Crusaders 0 - 1 Larne

Larne 1 - 0 Glentoran

Larne 0 - 0 Linfield

Dungannon 1 - 2 Larne

Larne 2 - 1 Glenavon

Coleraine 0 - 2 Larne