NIFL Premiership
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Larne

1-2

Heatley (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (80'), O'Neill (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Crusaders vs. Carrick
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Larne vs. Cliftonville
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.87% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
26.56% (-0.093 -0.09)26.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)46.57% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (0.212 0.21)56.79% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.171 0.17)77.72% (-0.172 -0.17)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.038000000000004 0.04)36.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.035 0.04)73.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (0.17399999999999 0.17)24.38% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (0.24400000000001 0.24)58.78% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 26.56%
    Larne 46.56%
    Draw 26.86%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 12.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.56%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2025 3pm
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Crowe (90+3')
Graham (66')
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
rhs 2.0


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