NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Larne

0-1

FT(HT: 0-1)
Magee (11')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Larne
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Cliftonville vs. Crusaders
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Larne
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Carrick vs. Larne
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.03% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
23.94% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)24.03% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.02% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.323 0.32)47.61% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.298 0.3)69.81% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.16500000000001 0.17)34.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.177 0.18)70.89% (-0.178 -0.18)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.157 0.16)18.28% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (0.268 0.27)49.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 23.94%
    Larne 52.02%
    Draw 24.02%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 10.62% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.02%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2025 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2025 3pm
gameweek 2
Crusaders
2-2
Larne
Lowry (56'), Nixon (75')
Stewart (90')
O'Neill (10'), Want (68')
Feb 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 28
Larne
0-1
Crusaders
Forsythe (31')
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Crusaders
1-3
Larne
Blaney (45+1')
Callacher (40'), Barr (57'), Larmour (68'), Williamson (90+1')
Cosgrove (39'), Ives (53'), Callacher (90+6')
A (43'), Randall (62'), Gallagher (81'), Ferguson (83')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
gameweek 13
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Magee (80')
Offord (55')
Offord (15'), Weir (40'), O'Rourke (52'), Clarke (71')
rhs 2.0


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