Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.