NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 5
Dungannon

Owens (90')
Barr (12'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (76'), Williamson (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGovern (5', 48'), Bermingham (8'), Galvin (90', 90+3')
Alves (51')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 1-3 Larne
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 2-1 Loughgall
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
37.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.78% (-0.004999999999999 -0)37.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.75% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 37.26%
    Dungannon Swifts 37.97%
    Draw 24.78%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.97%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crusaders
2-2
Dungannon
Forsythe (56' pen.), Offord (60')
Stewart (25'), Clarke (29'), Jewitt-White (80')
Galvin (15'), Curry (24')
Dillon (63'), Alves (71'), Mitchell (87'), McGinty (90+2')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Dungannon
1-0
Crusaders
McGovern (39')
Wallace (64'), Scott (71'), Glenny (89'), Dunne (90')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dungannon
2-2
Crusaders
Mitchell (52'), Moore (89')
Hutchinson (10'), Mitchell (30')
Kennedy (28', 90+2')
Larmour (90+5')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
1-4
Crusaders
Maguire (32')
Owens (42'), Hegarty (58')
Teelan (53'), Robinson (71'), Kennedy (78'), Smith (90+3')
Joe Burns (77')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
2-0
Dungannon
Heatley (46'), Lecky (57')
Kennedy (77'), Weir (90')