MX23RW : Monday, January 20 05:25:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 1
Crusaders

O'Connor (43'), Campbell (62'), McDaid (73' og.)
Haughey (28'), O'Connor (38'), Malone (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowry (19')
Blaney (12'), Clarke (55'), Owens (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 3-3 Coleraine
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-3 Glentoran
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
21.51% (0.23 0.23) 23.82% (0.351 0.35) 54.67% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.767 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-1.186 -1.19)49.26% (1.182 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-1.075 -1.08)71.32% (1.072 1.07)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.44 -0.44)37.39% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.436 -0.44)74.17% (0.432 0.43)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)17.9% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-1.125 -1.13)48.69% (1.121 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 21.51%
    Crusaders 54.67%
    Draw 23.81%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.51%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.317 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.31 0.31)
0-2 @ 9.9% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.68% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.59% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.67%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crusaders
0-1
Glenavon

Stewart (26'), Forsythe (48'), Lowry (55'), Nixon (90+2'), Campbell (90+4'), O'Rourke (90+4')
O'Connor (18')
Toure (72'), Jewitt-White (90+4')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Winchester (10'), Kennedy (54')
Lowry (75')

Campbell (27'), Ward (83')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Glenavon
1-3
Crusaders
Malone (74')
Campbell (63')
O'Rourke (45+1'), Heatley (65'), Owens (90+3')
Heatley (58'), Larmour (79')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Heatley (44'), Lowry (58')
Clarke (79')

Quinn (45')
Brown (82')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Glenavon
2-2
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (55'), Doran (74')
Heatley (69'), Lowry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield24173446172954
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon25123103630639
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2411493026437
5CliftonvilleCliftonville2310493025534
6CrusadersCrusaders25104113035-534
7LarneLarne189542213932
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena23102112729-232
9ColeraineColeraine238693735230
10GlenavonGlenavon2477102432-828
11Carrick RangersCarrick2357112033-1322
12Loughgall2534182459-3513


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