Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.