Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 0
Loughgall

Magee (14'), Ryan (81')
Thomson (45+3'), Thomson (45+1'), Cosgrove (68'), Gallagher (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Towe (23')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Loughgall
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result
LarneDrawLoughgall
70.92% (2.878 2.88)17.17% (-1.052 -1.05)11.91% (-1.828 -1.83)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-1.842 -1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.89% (0.387 0.39)37.1% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (0.419 0.42)59.3% (-0.422 -0.42)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (0.788 0.79)9.29% (-0.7911 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.64% (1.844 1.84)31.36% (-1.847 -1.85)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (-2.559 -2.56)42.04% (2.554 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (-2.293 -2.29)78.47% (2.289 2.29)
Score Analysis
    Larne 70.91%
    Loughgall 11.91%
    Draw 17.17%
LarneDrawLoughgall
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.719 0.72)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.591 0.59)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.181 -0.18)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.356 0.36)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.176 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.17 0.17)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 70.91%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.459 -0.46)
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.91%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Larne
2-0
Loughgall
Ryan (20', 66')
Bolger (54'), Bonis (86')

Hoey (16'), Norton (56'), Rea (82')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Larne
1-0
Loughgall
Thomson (18')
Farquhar (15')

Murdock (37')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Loughgall
1-0
Larne
Magee (89')
Boyd (50'), Kelly (65')

Ferguson (16'), Thomson (27'), Farquhar (39'), Graham (53'), O'Neill (57'), Ives (75'), Bonis (81'), Bonis (82')
Ferguson (69')