Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.