Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Larne had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.