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Champions League

Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 4
RFS


Randall (19'), Gallagher (20'), Graham (25'), Ryan (31'), Lusty (41')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Deocleciano (38'), Lemajic (44'), Ikaunieks (45+3'), Diomande (56')
Fabrice Ondoa Ebogo (19'), Lemajic (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and Rigas Futbola Skola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League

Rigas Futbola Skola

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Portadown0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawRigas Futbola Skola
29.37% (2.683 2.68)23.79% (-0.124 -0.12)46.83% (-2.561 -2.56)
Both teams to score 59.42% (2.517 2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (2.388 2.39)42.37% (-2.389 -2.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (2.342 2.34)64.78% (-2.343 -2.34)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (3.15 3.15)27.28% (-3.151 -3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (3.917 3.92)62.71% (-3.919 -3.92)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)18.29% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63% (-0.144 -0.14)49.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.37%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 46.84%
    Draw 23.79%
LarneDrawRigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.473 0.47)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.449 0.45)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.375 0.38)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.37%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.386 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.551 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.961 -0.96)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.486 -0.49)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.21 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 46.84%

How you voted: Larne vs RFS

Larne
33.3%
Draw
20.4%
Rigas Futbola Skola
46.3%
54
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
RFS
3-0
Larne
Kigurs (30'), Balodis (49'), Panic (60')
Ikaunieks (45+3'), Kouadio (75')

Altintop (38'), Donnelly (42'), Bolger (58')
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