Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.