Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
4 - 2
Newington Youth

McCurry (24', 29'), Gawne (36'), Carson (44')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Reid (49'), Curran (64')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Ballymena United and Newington Youth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ballymena 3-1 Annagh United
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Newington Youth

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Newington Youth
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Portadown0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 72.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Newington Youth had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Newington Youth win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewington Youth
72.7% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57)15.7% (0.272 0.27)11.59% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.43% (-0.50200000000001 -0.5)30.57% (0.505 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.12% (-0.603 -0.6)51.88% (0.608 0.61)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.7% (-0.226 -0.23)7.3% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.6% (-0.601 -0.6)26.4% (0.605 0.61)
Newington Youth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92% (0.136 0.14)38.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.131 0.13)74.85% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 72.71%
    Newington Youth 11.59%
    Draw 15.7%
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewington Youth
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.31% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.118 0.12)
4-0 @ 5.44% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.2% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 72.71%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.78% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.7%
1-2 @ 3.39% (0.079 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 11.59%