Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 72.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Newington Youth had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Newington Youth win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.