Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Annagh United had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Annagh United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.