Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Bangor City had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Bangor City win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.