Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 81.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.