Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.