NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
0 - 2
Crusaders


Jarvis (77'), Glackin (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Cliftonville
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
20.05% (0.004999999999999 0)22.94%57.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.007000000000005 0.01)47.42% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.82% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.6% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 20.05%
    Crusaders 57%
    Draw 22.94%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.05%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 11.21%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crusaders
1-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (69' pen.)
Joe Burns (52'), Lecky (52'), Owens (86')
Carson (29' pen.)
Kane (52'), McGonigle (70'), Brown (81')
Kane (68')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-2
Coleraine

Joe Burns (30'), O'Rourke (54'), Smith (57'), Heatley (66')
McKendry (54', 77')
McKendry (45+1'), Mitchell (72')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Coleraine
0-4
Crusaders

Carson (47')
Lowry (14'), Kennedy (81'), Larmour (87'), O'Rourke (90+1')
Kennedy (39'), Anderson (62'), Lowry (84')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
3-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (52' pen., 77'), Lowry (65')
McCrudden (38' pen.)
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Crusaders
2-0
Coleraine
Heatley (36'), Lecky (86')
rhs 2.0


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