NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 4
Crusaders

Nelson (18'), Taylor (28')
McCullough (8'), Nelson (81'), Taylor (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lecky (11'), Kennedy (67'), Heatley (71'), O'Rourke (74')
Clarke (54'), Lecky (59')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
12.81% (0.036999999999999 0.04)19.36% (0.022000000000002 0.02)67.83% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.33% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (0.050999999999995 0.05)45.67% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)81.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)12.25% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)37.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 12.81%
    Crusaders 67.82%
    Draw 19.36%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 12.81%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.36%
0-2 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 8.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.82%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
1-0
Ballymena
Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')

McCullough (76')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ballymena
0-0
Crusaders
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
3-0
Ballymena
Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
rhs 2.0


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