Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.