Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 78.91%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.