NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
0 - 1
Linfield


Joe Burns (31'), Clarke (52'), Anderson (71'), Heatley (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
East (45+1')
Annett (56'), Hall (75'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Carrick
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Crusaders win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Linfield in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
24.7% (1.013 1.01)25% (0.288 0.29)50.3% (-1.302 -1.3)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)50.93% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.244 -0.24)72.8% (0.244 0.24)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.749 0.75)35.35% (-0.75 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.771 0.77)72.11% (-0.77199999999999 -0.77)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)20.26% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-1.032 -1.03)52.6% (1.03 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 24.7%
    Linfield 50.3%
    Draw 24.99%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.231 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.7%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 50.3%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Linfield

Crusaders
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Linfield
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Cooper (10'), Fitzpatrick (23')
Clarke (62'), East (65'), Cooper (72')

Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (61'), Weir (61'), O'Rourke (78'), Lecky (83')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Linfield
0-0
Crusaders
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
2-0
Linfield
Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Linfield
0-0
Crusaders
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')