MX23RW : Friday, February 23 06:55:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick
0 - 1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-2 Loughgall
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
20.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 21.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 57.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)41.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (0.013000000000005 0.01)33.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (0.014000000000003 0.01)70.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.012 0.01)14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (0.020000000000003 0.02)42% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 20.71%
    Crusaders 57.47%
    Draw 21.81%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 5.52%
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 20.71%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 57.47%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LarneLarne29217158164270
2LinfieldLinfield30223565333269
3CliftonvilleCliftonville30214569234667
4GlentoranGlentoran28147761313049
5CrusadersCrusaders291361047331445
6ColeraineColeraine29105143755-1835
7Carrick RangersCarrick29104153658-2234
8Loughgall2995154052-1232
9GlenavonGlenavon2893163450-1630
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2977154858-1028
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena2954201851-3319
12Newry City AFC2935212174-5314

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