Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.