Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.