NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12

Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 2
Linfield

McGuckin (82')
Forsythe (68'), Macuilaitis (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsythe (61' og.), McClean (71')
Clarke (36'), East (39'), Mulgrew (90+6')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Loughgall 3-4 Carrick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Linfield

All competitions

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
19.23% ( 2.45)	22.83% ( 1.72)	57.94% ( -4.17)

Both teams to score 51% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.95% (

-3.51)

48.05% (

3.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

-3.31)

70.22% (

3.31)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

0.77)

39.07% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

0.72)

75.79% (

-0.71)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

-2.52)

16.3% (

2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13% (

-4.78)

45.87% (

4.78)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 19.23%

Linfield 57.93%

Draw 22.82%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.23%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.84) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.6) 0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.55) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.23) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.36) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.11% Total : 57.93%