Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 62.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.