Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.3%) and 0-3 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.