Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.