NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
1 - 3
Linfield

Glackin (53')
Jarvis (7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McClean (13'), Shields (64' pen.), McKee (72')
Newberry (8'), Clarke (68')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-2 Coleraine
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-3 Carrick
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawLinfield
22.4% (0.055999999999997 0.06)26.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)50.85% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)59.3% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.214 -0.21)79.7% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8% (-0.103 -0.1)42.2% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (-0.09 -0.09)78.61% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)23.48% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)57.5% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 22.4%
    Linfield 50.84%
    Draw 26.74%
ColeraineDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 14.35% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 50.84%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Coleraine
0-1
Linfield
Quinn (87')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Linfield
2-0
Coleraine
Shields (14' pen.), Vertainen (50')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Linfield
2-0
Coleraine
Hall (43'), McKee (45+3')

Wilson (75')