NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 3
Carrick

Shields (26' pen.), Clarke (34'), Hall (75')
Scott (63'), Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cushley (19'), Purkis (36', 81')
Crowe (45+4'), Cushley (52'), Andrews (59'), Allen (65'), Glendinning (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 9-0 Carrick
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 76.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
76.11% (-0.238 -0.24)15.69% (0.118 0.12)8.2% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 42.98% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.113 -0.11)41.85% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)64.25% (0.116 0.12)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)9.26% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.7% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)31.3% (0.203 0.2)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.37% (0.216 0.22)52.63% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.58% (0.136 0.14)86.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 76.09%
    Carrick Rangers 8.2%
    Draw 15.69%
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 13.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 76.09%
1-1 @ 7.45% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 15.69%
0-1 @ 3.13% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.39% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 8.2%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Vertainen (55'), McClean (76')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Linfield
3-1
Carrick
Vertainen (2', 28'), McDaid (90+2')
Tilney (80')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
2-1
Linfield
Mitchell (14'), McGuckin (64')
(30'), Cushley (41'), Mitchell (56'), Cherry (81')
Devine (53')
Roscoe (39'), Vertainen (42'), Cooper (69'), (90+1')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
Gibson (69')
Glendinning (28'), Cushley (51'), (73')
Scully (3' og.), McKee (36')
(62'), (84'), (90+2')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Shields (80' pen.), Millar (90')

Cherry (79'), Glendinning (82')