Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.