NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Glentoran

Macuilaitis (69'), Purkis (71')
Glendinning (75'), Forsythe (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (4')
McCartan (29'), Wilson (77'), Singleton (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 4-1 Carrick
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-2 Coleraine
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlentoran
16.4% (0.294 0.29)21.08% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)62.53% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 51.14% (0.874 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.835 0.84)45.09% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.798 0.8)67.44% (-0.801 -0.8)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.88 0.88)40.65% (-0.882 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (0.783 0.78)77.24% (-0.786 -0.79)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (0.19600000000001 0.2)13.83% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81% (0.39 0.39)41.19% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 16.4%
    Glentoran 62.52%
    Draw 21.08%
Carrick RangersDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 5.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-1 @ 4.51% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.28% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.4%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.205 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 11% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.26% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.099 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 62.52%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Carrick
0-4
Glentoran
McGinn (50', 65'), McCullough (79'), Devlin (89')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
1-5
Glentoran
Anderson (60')
Marshall (4', 13'), Singleton (51'), Purkis (90+1'), Burns (90+4')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Glentoran
5-0
Carrick
Wilson (15'), Donnelly (24'), McCartan (27'), McMenamin (45+1'), McClean (74')
Mar 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Glentoran
6-2
Carrick
McCartan (2', 55'), Donnelly (37', 59' pen.), McMenamin (40'), Jenkins (84')
Anderson (45'), McGuckin (89')
Hoy (26'), McMullan (45+2')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Carrick
0-3
Glentoran

Kelly (16'), Surgenor (34'), McGuckin (66')
Glendinning (90')
Donnelly (39', 61'), McCartan (46')
McClean (54'), Marron (65')
McDaid (72')