NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6

Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Dungannon

Marron (16' og.), Cushley (90' pen.)
Cushley (28'), Crowe (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moore (32')
Glenny (10'), Lusty (78'), Devine (89')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Linfield 3-3 Carrick
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

Last Game: Dungannon 2-2 Coleraine
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
47.69% ( 0.09)	25.17% ( 0.03)	27.14% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

-0.21)

49.84% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0.19)

71.84% (

0.19)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.05)

20.92% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.07)

53.65% (

0.07)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.2)

32.76% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

-0.23)

69.31% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 47.69%

Dungannon Swifts 27.14%

Draw 25.17%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.14%