Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.01%) and 0-3 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Glentoran in this match.