NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
3 - 4
Carrick

Forsythe (16' og.), Hoey (63'), Magee (77')
Kelly (10'), Loughran (53'), Cartwright (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Forsythe (29'), Allen (37', 72'), Macuilaitis (40')
Surgenor (10'), Mackinnon (87'), McGuckin (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Loughgall
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Glentoran
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
LoughgallDrawCarrick Rangers
61.14% (0.075000000000003 0.08)20.21% (0.047999999999998 0.05)18.65% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.417 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.81% (-0.435 -0.43)37.18% (0.437 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)59.39% (0.47300000000001 0.47)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.111 -0.11)11.77% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.05% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)36.95% (0.244 0.24)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-0.38799999999999 -0.39)33.32% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (-0.428 -0.43)69.94% (0.43000000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 61.14%
    Carrick Rangers 18.65%
    Draw 20.21%
LoughgallDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 61.14%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.21%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 18.65%