NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lakeview Park
Larne

Loughgall
1 - 0
Larne

Magee (89')
Boyd (50'), Kelly (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferguson (16'), Thomson (27'), Farquhar (39'), Graham (53'), O'Neill (57'), Ives (75'), Bonis (81'), Bonis (82')
Ferguson (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-1 Carrick
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LoughgallDrawLarne
17.61% (-4.58 -4.58)23.57% (-1.914 -1.91)58.82% (6.493 6.49)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-1.381 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (1.778 1.78)53.24% (-1.78 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (1.487 1.49)74.8% (-1.489 -1.49)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56% (-4.027 -4.03)44% (4.024 4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (-3.498 -3.5)80.12% (3.494 3.49)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (3.209 3.21)17.84% (-3.212 -3.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (5.259 5.26)48.6% (-5.262 -5.26)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 17.61%
    Larne 58.82%
    Draw 23.57%
LoughgallDrawLarne
1-0 @ 6.45% (-1.271 -1.27)
2-1 @ 4.56% (-0.952 -0.95)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.892 -0.89)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.437 -0.44)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.61%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.91 -0.91)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.566 -0.57)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.365 -0.37)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 13.53% (0.42 0.42)
0-2 @ 11.66% (1.45 1.45)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.207 0.21)
0-3 @ 6.7% (1.394 1.39)
1-3 @ 5.5% (0.635 0.64)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.82 0.82)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.475 0.48)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 1% (0.351 0.35)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.82%