NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 0
Crusaders

Cooper (10'), Fitzpatrick (23')
Clarke (62'), East (65'), Cooper (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (61'), Weir (61'), O'Rourke (78'), Lecky (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
38.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)26.41% (-0.032 -0.03)35.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (0.13500000000001 0.14)52.04% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (0.116 0.12)73.77% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.069999999999993 0.07)26.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (0.094999999999999 0.09)61.48% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.074999999999989 0.07)28.42% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)64.17% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 38.57%
    Crusaders 35.01%
    Draw 26.41%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
2-0
Linfield
Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Forsythe (45')
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')