NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Paul Heatley 44' goal
  • Philip Lowry 58' goal
  • Ross Clarke 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niall Quinn 45'
  • redcard Rory Brown 82'

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
Crusaders 0 - 3 Cliftonville
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Glenavon 2 - 1 Carrick
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Aaron Prendergast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 59.1% (-0.19)
Draw 21.45% (+0.08)
Glenavon 19.45% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.91% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.29% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 41.71% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 35.89% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 64.11% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 18.93% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 81.06% (+0.13)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 13.78% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 58.9% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 41.09% (+0.22)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 64.85% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.15% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.09% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.9% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Crusaders 59.1%
Draw 21.44%
Glenavon 19.45%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.6% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 59.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.44%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 5.25% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.06% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 55' goal
  • Jamie Doran 74' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 69'
  • goal Philip Lowry 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 36' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 40' goal
  • Peter Campbell 50' goal
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 87' goal
  • goal Philip Lowry 48'
  • goal Billy Joe Burns 70'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 44' goal
  • Adam Lecky 64' goal
  • Adam Lecky 69' goal
  • goal Peter Campbell 38'
  • goal Conor Scannell 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Forsythe 45' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 45'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Josh Robinson 63' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 85' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Campbell 9'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robert Garrett 58'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Singleton 38' yellowcard
  • Matthew Snoddy 48' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 50' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 22'
  • yellowcard Chris Hegarty 33'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 67'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 69'
  • redcard Robbie Weir 70'
  • yellowcard Declan Caddell 90'