Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.