NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 0
Ballymena

Birney (4')
Wallace (21'), McDonagh (62'), Rogers (66'), Campbell (69'), McCloskey (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rocks (36'), Place (45+3'), McMurray (79'), Whiteside (83'), McGuigan (86')
Place (51')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Glenavon
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Ballymena United

All competitions

Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Glentoran
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Ballymena United
49.6% ( 0)	24.56% ( 0.04)	25.84% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.78% (

-0.21)

48.22% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

-0.19)

70.37% (

0.19)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

-0.08)

19.47% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.13)

51.33% (

0.13)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

-0.15)

32.93% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

-0.17)

69.51% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 49.6%

Ballymena United 25.84%

Draw 24.56%

Glenavon	Draw	Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 49.6%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.84%