NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
0 - 3
Cliftonville


Smith (25'), Forsythe (36'), Joe Burns (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gallagher (18'), Hale (43'), Wilson (55')
Lowe (41'), Ashford (53'), Casey (64')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Loughgall
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
49.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)24.44% (-0.593 -0.59)26.16% (0.59 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.72% (2.428 2.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (2.94 2.94)47.43% (-2.935 -2.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (2.665 2.67)69.65% (-2.659 -2.66)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (1.169 1.17)19.24% (-1.165 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (1.889 1.89)50.95% (-1.883 -1.88)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (2.057 2.06)32.25% (-2.051 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (2.263 2.26)68.75% (-2.258 -2.26)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 49.4%
    Cliftonville 26.16%
    Draw 24.43%
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.9 -0.9)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.413 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.228 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.284 0.28)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.794 -0.79)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.336 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.467 -0.47)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.199 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.16%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
3-3
Crusaders
Hale (48'), Hale (50'), Gormley (58')
Heatley (1', 90+2'), O'Rourke (51')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Crusaders
2-2
Cliftonville
Forsythe (26'), Clarke (80')
Curran (35', 71')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
3-0
Cliftonville
Turner (15'), Heatley (36'), Owens (86')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cliftonville
0-0
Crusaders
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Crusaders
3-3
Cliftonville
Joe Burns (57'), Kennedy (63'), Forsythe (73')
(87')
Coates (31'), Curran (75', 80')
Coates (59')