MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 17:03:53| >> :60:641:641:
Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
3 - 0
Cliftonville

Masson (50'), Vaughan (69'), Hamilton (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casey (90')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Raith Rovers and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Cliftonville

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawCliftonville
46.42% (4.431 4.43) 24.03% (-0.26 -0.26) 29.54% (-4.168 -4.17)
Both teams to score 58.68% (-1.067 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61% (-0.549 -0.55)43.39% (0.554 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.544 -0.54)65.79% (0.54899999999999 0.55)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (1.688 1.69)18.87% (-1.683 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (2.738 2.74)50.33% (-2.733 -2.73)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-2.875 -2.88)27.68% (2.882 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-3.852 -3.85)63.23% (3.857 3.86)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 46.42%
    Cliftonville 29.54%
    Draw 24.03%
Raith RoversDrawCliftonville
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.434 0.43)
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.646 0.65)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.883 0.88)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.494 0.49)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.673 0.67)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.307 0.31)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.352 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.654 -0.65)
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.398 -0.4)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.567 -0.57)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.458 -0.46)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.54%

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