Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 54.08% ( | 23.34% ( | 22.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( | 46.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( | 68.37% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( | 34.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( | 71.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.58% |