Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ross County in this match.