Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 40.25% ( | 26.74% ( | 33% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( | 53.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( | 75.18% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( | 26.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( | 61.27% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.01% |