Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.