Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.